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        Four predictions                                        found that 91% of consumers in the region had transitioned
                                                                to contactless payments as a result of COVID-19.
        for fintech and                                         However long the pandemic lasts, these trends in consumer
                                                                behaviors will persist throughout 2021. Cashless payments
        payments in 2021                                        will continue to outpace cash, digital-only banking will see
                                                                more widespread adoption and  digital  wallet  usage will
                                                                expand. Financial services providers that can quickly and
                                                                effectively react to these changes will thrive.
                                                                2. Securing fintech investment could
                                                                become more challenging

                                                                While Innovate Finance reported that investors pumped
                                                                £1.8bn into UK fintechs in the first half of 2020, an increase
                                                                of 22% over the second half of 2019, more than half of that
                                                                amount was invested  in just  five companies—Revolut,
                                                                Checkout.com, Starling Bank, Onfido and Thought
                                                                Machine—with early-stage fintechs raising just 8% of total
                                                                investments.
                                                                Has the ongoing economic uncertainty surrounding
                                                                COVID-19 pushed investors towards 'safer' bets on more
                                                                mature, later-stage fintechs? It's hard to say for certain, but
                                                                we predict that startups may find capital harder to access in
        By Richard Hodgson                                      2021 as investors focus on "category winners" and become
        Global Processing Services                              more conservative and risk averse.

                  espite the overwhelming challenges of a glob-  Fintechs seeking investment in the next 12 months will
                  al pandemic, 2020 saw an enormous amount      thus need to have a differentiated proposition, a clear path
                  of resilience, ingenuity and innovation in the   to profitability, strong leadership, and partnerships with
        D world of fintech, payments and financial ser-         credible, experienced suppliers.
        vices. As we reach the final days of this most eventful of
        years, we're setting our sights on 2021 and sharing our pre-  3. The embedded finance gold rush
        dictions of what to expect from the next 12 months.     will begin in earnest

        1. The effects of COVID-19 will continue                Aside from COVID-19, embedded finance has been the
        to influence consumer behavior                          industry topic of 2020. It encapsulates the idea that financial
                                                                products in and of themselves are less important than
        It is now well established that COVID-19 has accelerated   the context in which a customer needs them. While the
        many pre-pandemic trends. For example, while the        traditional core banking model has offered diminishing
        number of cashless payments was already rising globally   returns, brands like Amazon, Apple, Uber and others have
        (a 14 percent increase in non-cash payments between 2018   seen success by embedding payments, loans and insurance
        and 2019, totaling 708.5 billion transactions, according   directly into their offerings. It's not hard to see the value of,
        to Capgemini), lockdown restrictions to combat the      for example, a car rental company offering car insurance
        coronavirus have supercharged the trend. Who could      during the hire process, or a house hunting app offering
        have imagined that the World Health Organization would   mortgages.
        advise against using cash for health reasons?
                                                                According to research by 11:FS, the embedded finance
        The  impact on  the  digitization  of  financial  services  has   opportunity will be worth $3.6 trillion by 2030. This will be
        been dramatic. In the UK, 6 million adults (or 12 percent of   supported by the banking-as-a-service (BaaS) ecosystem,
        the population) downloaded an online banking app for the   which offers the full banking stack to any business,
        first time during the initial lockdown, 90 percent of face-  regardless of industry, seeking to improve customer
        to-face transactions made in April were contactless, and   experiences with capabilities it would have been unable to
        in July 2020 there were 1.5 billion debit card transactions   build alone.
        (20.8 percent more than in June 2020). This is according
        to research published by  Wired,  Charged  and  UK finance,   The BaaS model has now reached a level of maturity that
        respectively.                                           will likely see a proliferation of brands capitalizing on it
                                                                in 2021. The floodgates have therefore been opened, and
        In the APAC region, which was already the global leader in   as the number of businesses embedding finance into their
        non-cash transactions (243.6 billion cashless transactions   offerings increases exponentially, so will the number of
        in 2019, according to Capgemini) due to high adoption of   traditional banks offering their services to companies via
        mobile payments and digital wallets, a Mastercard survey   the BaaS model.
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