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        inate checks, despite 63 percent experiencing check fraud   stocked up on Jan. 23 ahead of snowfall and icy conditions,
        in 2024. Other categories also posted gains: internet pay-  then largely stayed home through Jan. 26, dampening re-
        ments increased 6.1 percent to 11.4 billion, direct deposit   tail and restaurant activity. Restaurants were particularly
        rose 1.7 percent to 8.7 billion, and P2P payments jumped   affected. Overall restaurant sales fell 1.8 percent year over
        19.8 percent to 470 million transactions.               year, with foot traffic down 3.6 percent.
        Deep freeze impacts store traffic in January            Limited-service establishments posted a 3.4 percent sales

        A prolonged winter deep freeze weighed on small busi-   decline. Average ticket sizes rose 1.6 percent, partially off-
        ness performance in January 2026, as severe weather cur-  setting lower volumes. Discretionary spending declined
        tailed store traffic and consumers eased spending follow-  0.4  percent  year  over  year  and  0.7  percent  month  over
        ing a strong holiday season. Fiserv's Small Business Index,   month.
        released Feb. 3, 2026, showed sales rose 0.7 percent year
        over year but declined 0.5 percent month over month, re-  Retail results were mixed. Core retail categories, includ-
        flecting  a  customary  post-holiday  slowdown  intensified   ing groceries, clothing and furniture, rose 1.5 percent year
        by extreme weather.                                     over year, while non-core retail, such as gas and building
                                                                materials, declined 2.7 percent. Professional and adminis-
        In-store transactions bore the brunt of the pullback, with   trative services saw pockets of strength, growing 1.1 per-
        year-over-year in-store sales falling 2 percent, the steep-  cent month over month, aided by storm-related demand.
        est decline since mid-2022. Foot traffic slipped 0.8 percent   Tax preparation services rose 9.3 percent year over year
        month over month. The slowdown followed a robust end    and 5.6 percent month over month.
        to 2025. Visa reported U.S. consumer spending increased
        4.2 percent during a seven-week holiday period beginning   The data underscores how weather and shifting consumer
        Nov. 1, which aligns with National Retail Federation data.   behavior continue to create uneven conditions for small
                                                                businesses despite the broader digitization of payments.
        However, Winter Storm Fern disrupted late-January activ-
        ity. According to a Jan. 28 Fiserv special report, consumers
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