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        assistant winemaker some-
        where. All of this takes about      To be a payments expert, no formal education,
        seven or eight years, if you're
        lucky.                         training or experience is required. You just come up
                                        with a new product idea and try to get a pilot going
        To be a payments expert, no
        formal education, training       somewhere, anywhere, and get enough traction to
        or experience is required.
        You just come up with a new       get funding. Here's the tricky part: not only does
        product idea and try to get a     it have to work, but it has to present a real value
        pilot going somewhere, any-
        where, and get enough trac-     proposition to the user, something that people will
        tion to get funding. Here's
        the tricky part: not only does                        feel compelled to use.
        it have to work, but it has to
        present a real value proposi-
        tion to  the user, something
        that people will feel compelled to use. For example, in cy-  risk, the optimal tollbooth. This is why their stocks trade
        bersecurity, there are all sorts of products: APIs, big data   at 22 times forward expectations. Analysts are predicting
        tools, employee tools, artificial intelligence, biometrics   earnings growth in the area of 13 percent or more, and
        and the Internet of Things. How many companies work-    earnings per share growth at 15 percent annually for the
        ing in this space will get funding and stay in business five   next five years.
        years from now? Answer: very few.
                                                                Look at the business model for the handful of major card
        Any new product is going to have a long gestation period,   issuing banks: half of their consumers revolve their card
        certainly not a year or two. Remember, the first website   balances. The bank's cost of funds is around 2 percent, and
        was put up in August 1991, 26 years ago. Amazon and     they charge anywhere from 14 to 22 percent on revolving
        eBay launched in 1995, Google in 1998, and PayPal in 1999.   balances, with a 4 percent credit loss. Total credit card debt
        Facebook came out in 2004, and YouTube in 2005 – 12     now is around $779 billion. The issuing banks collecting
        years ago. It takes a long, long time for a product to reach   interest on this debt control over 80 percent of all checking
        commercial success.                                     accounts in the country, so they have the ability and
                                                                wherewithal to promote any new product that makes
        Rude awakening for fintech                              sense to their customer base. This makes it daunting for a
                                                                new entrant to provide significant incremental value to a
        The fintech entrants are now finding that rather than   financial institution, except in a marginal way.
        compete with banks (their original idea), their best bet is to
        have a bank buy or license their technology, because banks   To me, the real opportunity is to offer a lower cost
        have the numbers of business clients and consumers to get   alternative for the merchants who pay the freight for this
        critical mass in a short time.                          whole system. It's useful to remember that merchants
                                                                always pay the bill for payment processing, not consumers
        Finally, since ultimately somebody has to fund and pay   (except  indirectly).  The  opportunity  for  innovators  in
        for these fintech initiatives, it's always useful to follow   the acquiring business is to lower the merchants' cost of
        the money and see who has access to the stream of future   processing from 2 or 3 percent of sales to perhaps 50 basis
        earnings from the innovators. Here's where it gets tricky,   points.
        because when it comes to consumer payments, there is
        only one tollbooth, and it is jointly managed by the card   The innovators who figure out how to do this will give
        brands and the 10 or so major card issuing banks.       the tollbooth operators a run for their money, and while it
                                                                won't happen overnight, it will happen eventually.
        While we live on what is called the "acquiring side," be
        aware that it's the five or six major issuing banks that   Then you will see some real innovation in the payment
        call the shots in this world, and issuing cards will always   system.
        have a higher priority than the acquiring side for these
        banks.  This  will  continue  to  be  the  case  because  of  the   Brandes Elitch, Director of Partner Acquisition for CrossCheck Inc., has
        numbers, specifically, the card brands' operating margins.   been a cash management practitioner for several Fortune 500  com-
        For February, it was 53 percent for both brands. The profit   panies, sold cash management services for major banks and served
        margin was 38 percent for both brands.                  as a consultant to bankcard acquirers. A Certified Cash Manager
                                                                and  Accredited  ACH  Professional,  Brandes  has  a  Master's  in  Business
        Now ask yourself, what other business has margins like   Administration from New York University and a Juris Doctor from Santa
        this? Further, they are basically free of credit or operating   Clara University. He can be reached at brandese@cross-check.com.


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